Trucking Turnaround Ahead?

According to American Trucking Associations’ Chief Economist Bob Costello, trucking’s “slow, and choppy climb off of the bottom continued in October.”

After hitting a low in January of this year, …”tonnage is up a total of 3%, plus the index is up sequentially in three of the last four months,“ Costello said, indicating that the freight market has improved – but very slowly – since January. It must be said that ATA’s indices are dominated by contract freight as opposed to spot rates.

Just a day ago, Covenant Logistics’ co-founder and CEO David Parker predicted that the peak season, which started a week ago, will see positive growth through the holiday season. This is the first time in three or four years that peak freight is trending upward.

Trucking economists are closely watching interest rate cuts. Traditionally, rate cuts presage an increase in buying by three to six months, which could mean a strong trucking uptick in March or April as both businesses and consumers are ramping up their purchasing. Trucking also serves as an economic barometer because trucks carry 72.6% of tonnage carried by all modes of domestic freight transportation, including manufactured and retail goods.

ICSA will continue to keep you informed on the economy as the U. S. transitions to a new president and administration.

The Importance of a Pre-Trip Inspection

15 January 2026

Planning a safe trip as a professional truck driver requires thoughtful preparation before every journey. These are key practices to keep in mind throughout each stage of your trip.

Welcome to 2026! Here is What to Expect From the Feds

15 January 2026

English-language proficiency, non-domiciled truck driver licensing, enforcement of cabotage rules, thorough commercial driver’s license (CDL) training… actions in all of these areas made trucking headlines in the first year of the Trump Administration.

Marijuana Rescheduling: What it Means for Trucking

15 January 2026

On December 18, 2025, President Trump signed an Executive Order directing the federal government to conduct rulemaking to move marijuana from a Schedule I drug under the Controlled Substances Act (CSA) to Schedule III.